ABC News/Fusion Poll Illustrates Deep Divisions in the US

Conservatives are aware there are major divisions in the US. Of course there are divisions and we all know it has gotten much worse in the last 5 years. While we all have ideas about just how divided people are – we didn’t have specific examples. Now we do. A new ABC/Fusion poll shows how Democrats, Liberal Democrats, Republicans, Conservative Republicans, Women, Men, Whites and Non-Whites – feel on a wide range of questions.

There are some obvious differences, but notice how liberal democrats are more extreme than the people who are directly impacted – such as women, or various ethnic groups. Feel free to share your thoughts in the comment section.

Here are the poll’s findings. The percentages indicate those who agree with various statements.

1. Women have fewer opportunities than men in the workplace:

  • 68% of Democrats in general; 76% of liberal Dems
  • 38% of Republicans in general; 35% of conservative Repubs
  • 63% of women; 43% of men

2. Nonwhites have fewer opportunities than whites in society:

  • 56% of Dems; 62% of liberal Dems
  • 25% of Repubs.
  • Interestingly, more partisan Democrats (62%) hold this belief than nonwhites themselves (51%)!

3. It would be a good thing if more women were elected to Congress:

  • 60% of Dems
  • 23% of Repubs and 26% of conservative Repubs say it makes no difference to them if more women were elected to Congress.
  • 49% of women vs. 36% of men
  • 54% of nonwhites; 38% of whites

4. It would be a good thing if more nonwhites were elected to Congress:

  • 50% of liberal Dems
  • 5% of Repubs
  • 29% of nonwhites.

5. I trust the government in Washington to do what’s right:

  • 39% of U.S. adults
  • 62% of Dems; 69% of liberal Dems
  • 25% of Repubs; 18% of conservative Repubs

6. Support for legal status for undocumented immigrants:

  • 77% of liberal Dems; 32% of conservative Repubs
  • 70% of nonwhites; 43% of whites

7. Political leaders should rely somewhat or a great deal on their religious beliefs when making policy decisions:

  • 39% of Dems and Independents; 32% of liberal Dems
  • 60% of Repubs; 65% of conservative Repubs.
  • 74% of evangelical white Protestants; 37% of non-evangelical white Protestants; 16% of Americans who profess no religion.

8. Obamacare:

  • 75% of liberal Democrats support
  • 76% of conservative Republicans oppose

9. People like me are well represented in Congress:

  • 47% of nonwhites; 24% of whites
  • 43% of Dems; 27% of conservatives.

10. Race and partisanship: 

  • 24% of whites and 43% of nonwhites call themselves Democrats
  • 30% of whites and only 10% of nonwhites call themselves Republicans

11. Millennials (age 18 to 31 born from 1982 to 2004) and other age groups. Millenials are:

  • More apt to favor legal status for undocumented immigrants
  • Less religious: less apt than their elders to say politicians should base policy positions on their religious beliefs
  • Less engaged in politics: Only 54% of millennials report that they’re registered to vote vs. 87% among those 32 and older, peaking at 94%for seniors.

The poll concludes that while political divisions aren’t new, partisan and ideological differences of 20, 30, 40 and even 50 points raise challenging questions of how political accommodation can occur in this country.

METHODOLOGY – The ABC News/Fusion poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 17-20, 2013, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, includinglandline and cell-phone-only respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including design effect.

 

 

To read the full report – http://www.langerresearch.com/uploads/ABCNews-FusionPoll.pdf

Source – http://dcclothesline.com/2013/10/31/new-poll-finds-americans-bitterly-divided/

Tech Titans Bailing Out Healthcare.Gov

Truly unreal how thoroughly the government screwed this up –

BREAKING NEWS – Tech titans Oracle, Google and Red Hat are joining the effort to “address the problems around Healthcare.gov,” the federal website for Obamacare, according to a spokeswoman for the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.

The Obamacare website has been plagued by slowdowns and limited functionality since its rollout on October 1.

And for some reason the mainstream media isn’t acknowledging that if they can’t coordinate a website – why in the world does anything think they oversee the healthcare decisions of an entire country??

People — healthcare decisions, allowances, denials etc – can be a matter of life and death. This is NOT a game….

 

Lara Logan on Benghazi

This is a must-hear speech for every American. We can no longer hide behind false political speeches. American citizens need to understand what is going on. We need to understand that the Taliban, Al Quaeda, Pakistan, etc are waging a war of terrorism against the USA, and against our way of life.

Kathleen Sebelius Testifies Regarding Affordable Care Act Website

CNN BREAKING NEWS –

Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius apologized Wednesday to Americans for the “miserably frustrating experience” caused by problems with the Obamacare website.

Sebelius told a House committee that the “vast majority” of consumers will be able to shop online for health insurance under Obamacare by the end of November without the problems being experienced now.

In an advance copy of her testimony, Sebelius says it’s frustrating and unacceptable that the site has not lived up to its expectations.

However, she said Obamacare has delivered on its central promise to provide affordable healthcare.

“Over the past few weeks, millions of Americans have visited HealthCare.gov to look at their new health coverage options under the Affordable Care Act,” Sebelius says. “In that time, nearly 700,000 applications have been submitted to the federal and state marketplaces from across the nation. This tremendous interest — with over 20 million unique visits to date to HealthCare.gov — confirms that the American people are looking for quality, affordable health coverage.”

Read the story here.

Obama Pressuring Insurance Companies to Keep Quiet

This is a bombshell of a scandal. Obama is pressuring private insurance companies to keep quiet about Obamacare problems. People, do you understand what that means? Totalitarianism! Obama is a tyrant, who is overstepping the boundaries of his position as president.

Think about the ramifications here. If he is willing to “lean” on private businesses to do his bidding, what can we expect from the Affordable Care Act? What pressure is he willing to put on doctors? What kind of care are we going to receive? Who will decide whether we need surgery or not? Who will decide whether we live or die?

Everyone should be aware of this, and be concerned about it. It’s time to let Obama know that he cannot lie to us any longer without consequences.

 

http://poorrichardsnews.com/post/65504294572/video-cnn-bombshell-obama-leaning-on-insurance

What is the Dunning–Kruger Effect

I just heard about this again and looked it up – and it really applies to this administration. I’m going to share the info from Wikipedia to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect in detail. But see if you agree that it explains many attitudes we see each day with people within the Obama administration. People being elitist is one thing – but this takes it to an even higher level… so what do you think? And definitely check out the Peter Principle.

Dunning–Kruger effect

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes.[1]

Actual competence may weaken self-confidence, as competent individuals may falsely assume that others have an equivalent understanding. David Dunning and Justin Kruger of Cornell University conclude, “the miscalibration of the incompetent stems from an error about the self, whereas the miscalibration of the highly competent stems from an error about others”.[2]

Proposal

The phenomenon was first tested in a series of experiments published in 1999 by David Dunning and Justin Kruger of the Department of Psychology, Cornell University.[2][3] They noted earlier studies suggesting that ignorance of standards of performance is behind a great deal of incompetence. This pattern was seen in studies of skills as diverse as reading comprehension, operating a motor vehicle, and playing chess or tennis.

Dunning and Kruger proposed that, for a given skill, incompetent people will:

  1. tend to overestimate their own level of skill;
  2. fail to recognize genuine skill in others;
  3. fail to recognize the extremity of their inadequacy;
  4. recognize and acknowledge their own previous lack of skill, if they are exposed to training for that skill.

Dunning has since drawn an analogy (“the anosognosia of everyday life”)[1][4] with a condition in which a person who suffers a physical disability because of brain injury seems unaware of or denies the existence of the disability, even for dramatic impairments such as blindness or paralysis.

Supporting studies

Dunning and Kruger set out to test these hypotheses on Cornell undergraduates in psychology courses. In a series of studies, they examined the subjects’ self-assessment of logical reasoning skills, grammatical skills, and humor. After being shown their test scores, the subjects were again asked to estimate their own rank: the competent group accurately estimated their rank, while the incompetent group still overestimated theirs. As Dunning and Kruger noted,

Across four studies, the authors found that participants scoring in the bottom quartile on tests of humor, grammar, and logic grossly overestimated their test performance and ability. Although test scores put them in the 12th percentile, they estimated themselves to be in the 62nd.

Meanwhile, people with true ability tended to underestimate their relative competence. Roughly, participants who found tasks to be relatively easy erroneously assumed, to some extent, that the tasks must also be easy for others.

A follow-up study, reported in the same paper, suggests that grossly incompetent students improved their ability to estimate their rank after minimal tutoring in the skills they had previously lacked, regardless of the negligible improvement in actual skills.

In 2003, Dunning and Joyce Ehrlinger, also of Cornell University, published a study that detailed a shift in people’s views of themselves when influenced by external cues. Participants in the study, Cornell University undergraduates, were given tests of their knowledge of geography, some intended to affect their self-views positively, some negatively. They were then asked to rate their performance, and those given the positive tests reported significantly better performance than those given the negative.[5]

Daniel Ames and Lara Kammrath extended this work to sensitivity to others, and the subjects’ perception of how sensitive they were.[6] Other research has suggested that the effect is not so obvious and may be due to noise and bias levels. In a series of 12 tasks across three studies, researchers found that on moderately difficult tasks, the best and worst performers differ very little in accuracy, and on more difficult tasks, the best performers are less accurate than the worst performers in their judgments. This pattern suggests that judges at all skill levels are subject to similar degrees of error.[7]

Ehrlinger et al. (2008) made an attempt to test alternative explanations, but came to qualitatively similar conclusions to the original work. The paper concludes that the root cause is that, in contrast to high performers, “poor performers do not learn from feedback suggesting a need to improve.”[8]

Studies on the Dunning–Kruger effect tend to focus on American test subjects. A study on some East Asian subjects suggested that something like the opposite of the Dunning–Kruger effect may operate on self-assessment and motivation to improve.[9] East Asians tend to underestimate their abilities, and see underachievement as a chance to improve themselves and get along with others.

Awards

Dunning and Kruger were awarded the 2000 satirical Ig Nobel Prize in Psychology for their paper, “Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One’s Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments”.[10]

Historical references

Although the Dunning–Kruger effect was put forward in 1999, Dunning and Kruger have noted similar historical observations from philosophers and scientists, including Confucius (“Real knowledge is to know the extent of one’s ignorance.”),[3] Bertrand Russell (“One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision”),[8] and Charles Darwin, whom they quoted in their original paper (“ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge”).[2]Geraint Fuller, commenting on the paper, noted that Shakespeare expressed similar sentiment in As You Like It (“The Foole doth thinke he is wise, but the wiseman knowes himselfe to be a Foole.” (V.i)).[11]

And something else to consider —

Peter Principle

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
For the BBC sitcom, see The Peter Principle (TV series).

The Peter Principle is a proposition that states that the members of an organization where promotion is based on achievement, success, and merit will eventually be promoted beyond their level of ability. The principle is commonly phrased, “Employees tend to rise to their level of incompetence.” In more formal parlance, the effect could be stated as: employees tend to be given increasing responsibility and authority until they cannot continue to work competently. It was formulated by Laurence J. Peter and Raymond Hull in their 1969 book The Peter Principle, a humorous[1] treatise, which also introduced the “salutary science of hierarchiology”.

The principle holds that in a hierarchy, members are promoted so long as they work competently. Eventually they are promoted to a position at which they are no longer competent (their “level of incompetence”), and there they remain, being unable to earn further promotions. Peter’s Corollary states that “[i]n time, every post tends to be occupied by an employee who is incompetent to carry out its duties”[2] and adds that “work is accomplished by those employees who have not yet reached their level of incompetence.” “Managing upward” is the concept of a subordinate finding ways to subtly manipulate his or her superiors in order to prevent them from interfering with the subordinate’s productive activity or to generally limit the damage done by the superiors’ incompetence.

This principle can be modeled and has theoretical validity for simulations.[3]

For more details – http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Principle

Proof That Obama Lied…

How can anyone continue to deny media bias?  Do they really want to receive only the news that is spun, or buried, in order to protect Barack Obama?  That, my friends, is state-run news.

NBC news senior investigative correspondent Lisa Myers found buried in the 2010 Affordable Care Act regulations language that predicted “A reasonable range for the percentage of individual policies that would terminate is forty percent to sixty-seven percent.”

Read that again, and then consider that Obama has been lying to the American people for three years, telling us repeatedly that “If you like your current insurance policy, you can keep it under Obamacare.”  Flat out lie!  Yet, according to an analysis done by The Media Research Center, this massive breach of trust garnered only 21 seconds of coverage on NBC Nightly News.  They buried it at the end of the fourth story and offered no follow up on Today.  ABC and CBS completely censored Lisa Myers’ discovery, giving it ZERO coverage on their evening and morning shows.

Open your eyes, people.  You are being lied to and mislead over and over again.  The proof is there…you just have to be willing to look for it and believe it.

Media Research Center President Brent Bozell reacts:

“Barack Obama lied to the American people – repeatedly and with a straight face – every time he insisted that those who like their current healthcare could keep it under Obamacare. And he’ll keep lying to the American people because the liberal media refuse to hold him accountable.

“NBC News, whose own reporter found the language in Obamacare proving Obama knowingly lied to the people for over three years, gave this bombshell revelation a pathetic 21 seconds of coverage on Nightly News. There was no follow-up on Today. In other words, NBC News buried their own reporter to protect Obama.

 “This sends a clear message to the American people. As far as the liberal broadcast networks are concerned, when Barack Obama lies, it’s not news. What would Richard Nixon have given for a press corps this corrupt?”